GLP-1 RAs outperform SGLT2 inhibitors in mortality risk reduction in patients with serious mental illness




“Bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder, and schizophrenia are associated with substantial excess mortality, principally from cardiovascular disease [CVD],” wrote the researchers. “Identifying strategies to reduce this burden is a critical psychiatric priority.” [JAMA Psychiatry 2026;doi:10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2026.2574]
In a retrospective target trial emulation within the TriNetX Analytics Network, >1.5 million adults initiating either GLP-1 RAs or SGLT2 inhibitors were included. After 1:1 propensity score matching, each group included 764,115 patients, with 195,184 pairs with SMI (GLP-1 RAs: mean age, 60.5 years; female, 57.8 percent; SGLT2 inhibitors: median age, 60.2 years; female, 58.1 percent) and 568,931 pairs without SMI (GLP-1 RAs: mean age, 60.9 years; female, 44.2 percent; SGLT2 inhibitors: median age, 60.6 years; female, 45.8 percent) in each group.
Lower 1- & 4-year mortality with GLP-1 RAs
For the primary outcome, GLP-1 RAs were associated with significantly reduced 4-year all-cause mortality vs SGLT2 inhibitors (4.91 vs 6.45 percent; hazard ratio [HR], 0.76; 95 percent confidence interval [CI], 0.74–0.78; absolute risk difference [ARD], -1.54 percentage points; 95 percent CI, -1.68 to -1.39; p<0.001) in patients with SMI.
“A notable finding was the early separation of mortality curves,” highlighted the researchers. “At 1 year, GLP-1 RA initiation was associated with a 48 percent lower relative risk of death [1-year all-cause mortality: 1.46 vs 2.84 percent with SGLT2 inhibitors; rate ratio, 0.52; 95 percent CI, 0.49–0.54; ARD, -1.38 percentage points; 95 percent CI, -1.47 to -1.29; p<0.001] in the SMI cohort.”
“The rapidity of this divergence exceeds what would be expected from gradual metabolic improvements alone, raising the possibility that GLP-1 RAs exert acute cardioprotective effects that manifest before the full realization of weight loss or glycaemic optimization,” commented the researchers.
Semaglutide reduced CV events and 10-year mortality
Secondary cardiovascular outcomes were assessed among patients with SMI and type 2 diabetes (T2D). Compared with SGLT2 inhibitors, semaglutide was associated with significantly lower risks of:
In exploratory analyses among patients with T2D, semaglutide was associated with lower 10-year mortality across SMI subgroups. “The consistency of the mortality benefit across major depressive disorder [relative risk (RR), 0.55; 95 percent CI, 0.53–0.56], bipolar disorder [RR, 0.57; 95 percent CI, 0.51–0.63], and schizophrenia [RR, 0.67; 95 percent CI, 0.59–0.75] demonstrates generalizability across the full SMI diagnostic spectrum [all p<0.001],” the researchers pointed out.
“The findings of this study indicate that GLP-1 RAs, particularly semaglutide, may represent a treatment option to narrow the cardiovascular mortality gap in persons living with SMI,” wrote the researchers.